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Poll

I never started a poll here but thought it might be a starting point for HIV+ to express their wisdom or sheer guesses.

obama will win by less than 10 electoral votes.
4 (17.4%)
romney will win by less than 10 electoral votes.
1 (4.3%)
obama will win by more than 10 electoral votes.
14 (60.9%)
romney will win by more than 10 electoral votes.
4 (17.4%)
bugs bunny will sweep all 50 states
0 (0%)

Total Members Voted: 23

Voting closed: November 02, 2012, 05:28:46 PM

Author Topic: electoral vote predictions 2012  (Read 20135 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Online mitch777

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electoral vote predictions 2012
« on: October 26, 2012, 05:28:46 PM »
I hope everyone participates. Not having done a poll before, I am not really sure the rules too well and how this site works when it comes to posting a poll.

My hope is that the information gathered will show that we HIV+ people have some kind of insight in what matters in politics and policy.
The results will only show AFTER someone has voted.

Thanks!
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2012, 05:42:57 PM »
well, after seeing my poll posted, I guess THAT won't work out!
nevermind. :)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2012, 05:50:56 PM »
OK, I revised my poll questions.
(Originally thought the poll could be more complex)
It' a GO now again for the poll.
Sorry for the confusion. (I get confused easy these days.) :)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2012, 06:00:06 PM »
my last revision in my poll questions. promise.
thanks for your patience!
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline WillyWump

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2012, 06:29:56 PM »
Is this an official poll? will the results be on CNN?

You do realize you are polling a mostly liberal group here..

POZ since '08

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6/25/13 CD4- 1036, UD,
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Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2012, 06:38:27 PM »
lol wumpy!

and YES this is the final draft, official poll, and YES it will be on cnn, OR msnbc as I now this is a mostly liberal group.
I still believe HIV+ people have an important viewpoint that needs political recognition.

please be the FIRST to vote and TRY to be as realistic as possible dearie. ;)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2012, 06:43:14 PM »
Code: [Select]
as I now i need to preview my post for spelling.
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline leatherman

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2012, 07:02:11 PM »
Code: [Select]
as I now i need to preview my post for spelling.
and I know that you didn't need to use the CODE function. LOL
Code: [Select]
because code is usually used to explain the BBC HTML tags like [img=http://myimage.com/image.jpg][/img]
your poll still needs some change however. The polls on this site doesn't allow multiple selections, so a member can't vote for the Presidental election and the Senate election and the House election. Your options are three polls in one.


Poll 1:
obama will win by less than 10 electoral votes.
 romney will win by less than 10 electoral votes.
 obama will win by more than 10 electoral votes.
 romney will win by more than 10 electoral votes.

Poll 2:
 democrats will retain power in senate.
 republicans will have majority power in senate.

Poll3:
 democrats will have majority in house.
 republicans will retain power in house.


good luck with your poll(s) ;)
leatherman (aka mIkIE)


chart from 1992-2013; updated 2/09/13  Reyataz/Norvir/Truvada

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2012, 08:07:45 PM »
thanks mikie! :)
i will try to figure it out. :)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline leatherman

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2012, 08:18:32 PM »
btw, I don't know who will win; but I hope Obama and the Dems, both in the House and Senate, win. Since I'm working the polls on Election Day, I've already cast my vote to help that outcome a tiny bit.
leatherman (aka mIkIE)


chart from 1992-2013; updated 2/09/13  Reyataz/Norvir/Truvada

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2012, 09:00:39 PM »
laugh at me all you want ::)
geez, i just learned how (kinda) to copy and paste last week.
at the rate i am currently posting i will set a new record in no time! ::)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline jkinatl2

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2012, 09:13:34 PM »
laugh at me all you want ::)
geez, i just learned how (kinda) to copy and paste last week.
at the rate i am currently posting i will set a new record in no time! ::)

Hey I've been here a decade and I still haven't managed to get it right.

"Many people, especially in the gay community, turn to oral sex as a safer alternative in the age of AIDS. And with HIV rates rising, people need to remember that oral sex is safer sex. It's a reasonable alternative."

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Welcome Thread

Offline WillyWump

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2012, 09:22:03 PM »
ROMNEY BIDEN 2012!

ohwut?

If Obama and Romney tie with 269 EV each, I forget the exact math but it's doable in this particular election, then the Presidency is decided in the house, with the Repubs polling very well in the house they would chose Romney. But guess who Picks the VP, The Senate....which of course would chose Biden over Ryan.

ROMNEY BIDEN 1012!

POZ since '08

Last Labs-
6/3/14 CD4- 736, UD 34%
6/25/13 CD4- 1036, UD,
2/4/13, CD4 - 489, UD, 28%

Current Meds: Prezista/Epzicom/ Norvir
.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2012, 09:39:50 PM »
wumpy has expressed a voting "opinion" on a "poll thread" and is subject to whatever miss p. decrees as punishment.

future violations from anyone will also recieve same.

be warned. beware! :'( ;D
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline WillyWump

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2012, 09:46:08 PM »
wumpy has expressed a voting "opinion" on a "poll thread" and is subject to whatever miss p. decrees as punishment.

future violations from anyone will also recieve same.

be warned. beware! :'( ;D

Geez! OK Hitler  ::)
POZ since '08

Last Labs-
6/3/14 CD4- 736, UD 34%
6/25/13 CD4- 1036, UD,
2/4/13, CD4 - 489, UD, 28%

Current Meds: Prezista/Epzicom/ Norvir
.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2012, 09:54:06 PM »
BIG PS!!!

i am hoping to get OVER 300 votes from this poll!

blow me away.
(no comentary :D)

please just check off a "box" and check back in 7 days for the results.
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2012, 10:02:59 PM »
Quote
Geez! OK Hitler   

springtime? :)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline leatherman

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2012, 10:08:58 PM »
Geez! OK Hitler  ::)
it only took 6 posts (besides the 9 from the OP) for Godwin's law to kick in. That's probably close but not quite a world record.
leatherman (aka mIkIE)


chart from 1992-2013; updated 2/09/13  Reyataz/Norvir/Truvada

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2012, 10:18:22 PM »
LMAO!
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline Miss Philicia

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2012, 01:28:54 AM »
Oama will win by 309 electoral votes, Romney will lose 229 by, based on superlative ground game

Dems will win the Senate by 53
« Last Edit: October 27, 2012, 01:32:37 AM by Miss Philicia »
"Iíve slept with enough men to know that Iím not gay"

Offline Ann

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2012, 07:37:56 AM »
ROMNEY BIDEN 2012!

ohwut?

If Obama and Romney tie with 269 EV each, I forget the exact math but it's doable in this particular election, then the Presidency is decided in the house, with the Repubs polling very well in the house they would chose Romney. But guess who Picks the VP, The Senate....which of course would chose Biden over Ryan.

ROMNEY BIDEN 1012!



"Ugh," Cook added.
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"...health will finally be seen not as a blessing to be wished for, but as a human right to be fought for." Kofi Annan

Nymphomaniac: a woman as obsessed with sex as an average man. Mignon McLaughlin

HIV is certainly character-building. It's made me see all of the shallow things we cling to, like ego and vanity. Of course, I'd rather have a few more T-cells and a little less character. Randy Shilts

Offline mecch

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2012, 08:43:06 AM »
I hope Obama will win. I'm too overwhelmed by election coverage to understand the polls and predictions.  There seem to be too many polls and predictions this year but it is what it is. 

It has seemed to be a tight race for a few weeks now.  Romney never seemed to have lost what he deserved to lose, based on his soulless hypocrisy.

The lefty media pundits I like are getting too screechy about the whole thing, to boot.
ďFrom each, according to his ability; to each, according to his needĒ 1875 K Marx

Offline leatherman

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2012, 12:23:57 PM »
It has seemed to be a tight race for a few weeks now.  Romney never seemed to have lost what he deserved to lose, based on his soulless hypocrisy.

The lefty media pundits I like are getting too screechy about the whole thing, to boot.
i think they are screcchy for the same reason you point out.

I simply cannot fathom that anyone who is 1) a woman, 2) a glbt, 3) earns under $500k, 4) non-Christian or 5) not looking for another war would vote for Romney or support the Republicans at all. Yet many of those people, against their own self-interests, will be lead like sheeple to the slaughter and pull the "R" lever in the voting booth..... well, touch the straight-R button on the screen LOL. How they can possibly make that decision is utterly beyond me and I have gotten quite screechy with some people I know. LOL
leatherman (aka mIkIE)


chart from 1992-2013; updated 2/09/13  Reyataz/Norvir/Truvada

Offline mecch

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2012, 12:40:23 PM »
Maybe there is a lesson in all this, I dunno. 

I love me my Rachel Maddow and ilk. But can the real lefties ever hope their painstaking breakdown of the lies and fipflops will shine light into the common blindness about all that.  Preaching to the converted. 

I do think the Obama campaign has done a good job with the media coming right back, quickly, clearly and pithily.  And since i assume the general population sees those ads, then the message is being transmitted.  Just not received.  Or rejected. 

And I suppose there is nothing much to do about low information voters.  Nor about voters who do look at all the messages, but don't have much cognitive dissonance. Go with the last thing they hear or see.  Go with the easy or reassuring message.   

 
ďFrom each, according to his ability; to each, according to his needĒ 1875 K Marx

Offline Dachshund

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2012, 12:53:02 PM »
The only pundits screeching were the ones on the right when the polls showed Romney losing. They came up with every excuse in the book to explain away the poll numbers. The left press was quite up front in admitting Obama lost the first debate. Something the right never did examining the second and third debates, which every objective poll had Romney losing.

I just can't believe the mo's around here who support Romney. Explain yourself to Bocker and other gay members of the forums who are married that Romney/Ryan support a constitutional amendment to ban gays the right to marry.

Offline Miss Philicia

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #25 on: October 27, 2012, 02:11:40 PM »

I just can't believe the mo's around here who support Romney.

Oh, I can... you know how those queers hide it well except when the petticoats hang low because of all the Taco Bell they've eaten for a month.
"Iíve slept with enough men to know that Iím not gay"

Offline Joe K

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #26 on: October 27, 2012, 03:04:55 PM »
I just can't believe the mo's around here who support Romney. Explain yourself to Bocker and other gay members of the forums who are married that Romney/Ryan support a constitutional amendment to ban gays the right to marry.

Once the shrub stated his support for such an amendment, I decided that I could no longer reside in the US.  I think, that for those of us a little older, we remember how life has been, for us, for simply being gay.  The idea that the president, any president, would support any amendment, limiting the rights of any Americans, is simply beyond my comprehension.  Fortunately, I had other options and I cannot begin to tell you, how affirming it is to live in a county that considers me as an equal.

Joe

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #27 on: October 27, 2012, 06:04:31 PM »
hmmm...

14 votes in so far. 226 to go in 6 days.
for those of you who live anywhere in the NE, i hope you consider early voting before you lose power.

31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline Miss Philicia

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #28 on: October 27, 2012, 07:32:44 PM »

for those of you who live anywhere in the NE, i hope you consider early voting before you lose power.


There is no early voting in Pennsylvania. My polling place is a mere 2 blocks away. I figure I can hobble over there without worrying about diarrhea dripping down my pant legs.
"Iíve slept with enough men to know that Iím not gay"

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #29 on: October 27, 2012, 08:21:12 PM »
funny miss p. but i was refering to early voting on this thread.

do you reside above ground level in Philly?
i hope so for your sake as the diarrhea issue could pose a challenge. :D

ct is predicted to get some of the worst of the surge and winds, while Philly should be getting heavier rain.

hang on girls, it's going to be a bumpy ride! ;D
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline Miss Philicia

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #30 on: October 27, 2012, 10:22:47 PM »
funny miss p. but i was refering to early voting on this thread.


Thread title: electoral vote predictions 2012

Sorry, but you fail -- nothing in your first post validates your assertion

ps: I live in fourth floor walk up. Do you really think that a flood will reach up to that height, even if Philadelpia is sandwiched between two rivers?

extra credit: pdf file of flood prone Philly I live about 10 blocks east of where it says #17 so I am safe.
« Last Edit: October 27, 2012, 11:01:32 PM by Miss Philicia »
"Iíve slept with enough men to know that Iím not gay"

Offline wolfter

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #31 on: October 27, 2012, 11:47:55 PM »


I just can't believe the mo's around here who support Romney.

What is a mo?  I guess I need some sort of guide as I am always finding terms in these forums that I don't understand. ;D
productivity breeds content

Offline tednlou2

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #32 on: October 28, 2012, 12:02:55 AM »
I prefer to follow Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight blog.  In 2008, he was only off by something like 4 electoral votes.  He has President Obama's chances of winning at 75%. 

I just saw him on Real Time.  He said many networks like to use Gallop.  He doesn't seem to put much stock in Gallop.  And, the networks need to portray the race as very, very tight.  That brings in viewers.  And, they like to talk about a possible tie every election.  I suppose it is good to educate viewers on what would happen, in the case of a tie.  I believe the President will hold every state from 2008, except for NC and IN.

The pollsters say they've been able to account for so many having only cell phones today.  I only have a cell phone.  We got rid of our home phone, after all it did was collect dust.  Many younger folks don't have home phones.  And, if they do, they don't answer calls from family often times, not to mention unlisted numbers.   

Offline GSOgymrat

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #33 on: October 28, 2012, 12:48:22 AM »
The pollsters say they've been able to account for so many having only cell phones today.  I only have a cell phone.  We got rid of our home phone, after all it did was collect dust.  Many younger folks don't have home phones.  And, if they do, they don't answer calls from family often times, not to mention unlisted numbers.   

The RNC robocalls my home phone every other day. I have not heard from the Democrats at all.

Offline tednlou2

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #34 on: October 28, 2012, 01:42:30 AM »
We get these in the mail from the Romney Campaign.  Evidently, they think my partner is loaded.  I can't believe how they act like $50k is no big deal.  Obama asks us for $5..lol.  The only thing we can think of as to why he gets these is that he registered as a Repub, when he turned 18.  His dad is repub, so he registered as one.  However, he soon switched to Dem. 


Offline J.R.E.

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #35 on: October 28, 2012, 03:09:23 AM »
The RNC robocalls my home phone every other day. I have not heard from the Democrats at all.

I actually had a live person call me last night, and asked me to support Romney.  I won't get into what I said to this person, but I was on a roll,.. but he ended up hanging up the phone on me LOL   ;D


Ray
Current Meds ; Viramune, Epzicom, 40mg of simvastatin, 12.5mg of Hydrochlorothiazide.
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 In October of 2003, My t-cell count was 16, Viral load was over 500,000, Percentage at that time was 5%. I started my first  HAART regimen  on October 24th,03.

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Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #36 on: October 28, 2012, 06:37:51 AM »
Quote
Sorry, but you fail -- nothing in your first post validates your assertion
i did indeed fail but thought if you had read this:
Quote
14 votes in so far. 226 to go in 6 days.
for those of you who live anywhere in the NE, i hope you consider early voting before you lose power.
 
as a whole train of thought, perhaps one would gather that I was referring to this thread.
maybe not. ???
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #37 on: October 28, 2012, 06:50:25 AM »
Ps...

This thread has been so convoluted from the start due to the "computer challenged" OP (me).

Due to this, perhaps I should adjust my expectations from hoping to get 300 votes to hoping to get 30.

Almost half way there now! ;D

(i just discovered the "modify" button)
my previous post should have read 14 down, 286 to go. (not 226)
what can I say. have i driven you all nuts already?
bet you can't wait for connecticut to lose power. :)
« Last Edit: October 28, 2012, 07:00:28 AM by mitch777 »
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline tednlou2

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #38 on: October 28, 2012, 02:35:49 PM »
Convoluted?  Now, this political ad is convoluted.  Well, it's many things.  Stations had to run a disclaimer, before airing it.  I am so technologically advanced that I recorded this right off my TV. 

What do you think?  Will this hurt Samuel L Jackson?  ::)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ji6FMeR9vuw&feature=youtube_gdata_player

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #39 on: October 28, 2012, 02:52:10 PM »
WoW and Yikes!!!

ps. what a nice voice you have :)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline Ann

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #40 on: October 28, 2012, 04:43:26 PM »
WoW and Yikes!!!

ps. what a nice voice you have :)

I thought the same thing. I always thought Tedderz would sound more like Truman Capote. ;D
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"...health will finally be seen not as a blessing to be wished for, but as a human right to be fought for." Kofi Annan

Nymphomaniac: a woman as obsessed with sex as an average man. Mignon McLaughlin

HIV is certainly character-building. It's made me see all of the shallow things we cling to, like ego and vanity. Of course, I'd rather have a few more T-cells and a little less character. Randy Shilts

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #41 on: October 28, 2012, 05:07:50 PM »
LOL!

how butch, yet sexy. :)
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline WillyWump

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #42 on: October 28, 2012, 08:12:59 PM »
I always thought Tedderz would sound more like Truman Capote. ;D

No, you are thinking about Missp, she's a a cross between Truman Capote and Peewee Herman. It's quite astonishing really.
« Last Edit: October 28, 2012, 08:38:30 PM by WillyWump »
POZ since '08

Last Labs-
6/3/14 CD4- 736, UD 34%
6/25/13 CD4- 1036, UD,
2/4/13, CD4 - 489, UD, 28%

Current Meds: Prezista/Epzicom/ Norvir
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Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #43 on: October 28, 2012, 08:15:55 PM »
Quote
No, you are thinking about Missp, she's a across between Truman and Peewee Herman. It's quite astonishing really.

not really. just as expected. :D
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline ds4146

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #44 on: October 28, 2012, 09:22:26 PM »
Wow that was hot. T's voice, you were smoking! Do you smoke? The video was very, very scary in many ways.

Online mitch777

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #45 on: October 28, 2012, 09:25:09 PM »
ted,

you are a celebrity now! :)

i want to hear more!!!
31 years hiv+ (oct. 2013) with a curtsy.

Offline WillyWump

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #46 on: October 28, 2012, 09:39:34 PM »
Can we please see Tedderz naked now?
POZ since '08

Last Labs-
6/3/14 CD4- 736, UD 34%
6/25/13 CD4- 1036, UD,
2/4/13, CD4 - 489, UD, 28%

Current Meds: Prezista/Epzicom/ Norvir
.

Offline Miss Philicia

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #47 on: October 28, 2012, 09:59:14 PM »
I always thought Tedderz would sound more like Truman Capote. ;D

You're confusing him with me.

No, you are thinking about Missp, she's a a cross between Truman Capote and Peewee Herman. It's quite astonishing really.

Gets you hard, doesn't it. And Capote was a genius. And rich.

Anyway, I can butch it up when I need to -- remember, I'm the only one on here who urinated on a priest in a leather bar.
« Last Edit: October 28, 2012, 10:01:11 PM by Miss Philicia »
"Iíve slept with enough men to know that Iím not gay"

Offline GSOgymrat

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #48 on: October 28, 2012, 10:10:32 PM »
  I am so technologically advanced that I recorded this right off my TV. 

With your Tivo how did you even see that commercial? I fast forward through all the ads, political and otherwise.

Offline tednlou2

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Re: electoral vote predictions 2012
« Reply #49 on: October 29, 2012, 12:33:12 AM »
Wow, I just checked back in.  Yeah, just got back in from pumping some iron.  ::)Do the kids still say that?  I also climbed up in a huge oak tree to get a cat down.  After that, I pulled some kids out of a well.  All in a days work for a masculine dude.  I need to start a phone sex business.  Or, did I miss that chance by about a decade? 

But, believe me.  Get a few drinks in me and around some friends, and I turn into Marcus Bachmann.  ;)

Modified for spelling.         

 


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